Advanced Healthcare Materials

Aims Polymer-free drug-eluting stents were developed to enhance vascular biocompatibility and safety while maintaining antirestenotic efficacy. The TRANSEVER registry evaluated 12-month clinical outcomes of the polymer-free everolimus-eluting ISAR SUMMIT stent in a large, real-world population undergoing percutaneous coronary intervention. Methods This prospective, multicentre study enrolled patients with coronary artery disease undergoing PCI with the ISAR SUMMIT stent across 33 centres in India. The primary endpoint was target-lesion failure (TLF) at 12 months, a composite of cardiac death, target vessel myocardial infarction, or clinically driven target lesion revascularisation. Secondary endpoints included the patient-oriented composite endpoint (POCE) of all-cause death, any myocardial infarction, stroke, revascularization, and definite/probable stent thrombosis. Results A total of 1,000 patients were enrolled, of whom 996 completed 12-month follow-up. The cohort presented with a high-risk profile, including an acute coronary syndrome (ACS) in 89.8% of the cases and diabetes mellitus in 44.4% of them. Procedural outcomes were excellent in terms of device success and final TIMI 3 flow (achieved in all treated lesions). At 12 months, TLF occurred in 15 patients (1.5%). Definite or probable stent thrombosis was observed in 8 patients (0.8%). POCE was observed in only 21 patients (2.1%). Conclusions In this large, contemporary real-world population with a very high proportion of patients presenting with ACS, the polymer-free everolimus-eluting ISAR SUMMIT stent demonstrated favourable 12-month clinical outcomes, with low rates of target lesion failure and stent thrombosis. These results suggest that this novel device is both safe and effective for routine clinical use.

Background: The clinical benefit and safety of drug-coated devices in chronic limb-threatening ischemia remain debated, particularly after recent randomized evidence questioning paclitaxel-coated technologies. We evaluated wound healing, limb outcomes, and mortality after infrainguinal endovascular therapy with uncoated, paclitaxel-coated, and sirolimus-coated devices. Methods: Consecutive patients with chronic limb-threatening ischemia undergoing successful infrainguinal endovascular therapy in a prospective single-center service evaluation were analyzed. The primary exposure was use of any drug-coated device during the index procedure. Inverse probability of treatment weighting and multivariable Cox models were used to adjust for baseline differences. Exploratory analyses compared paclitaxel-coated, sirolimus-coated, and uncoated devices. Results: Among 341 patients, 244 (71.6%) received at least one drug-coated device. After weighting, drug-coated device use was associated with more frequent wound healing, whereas major amputation, clinically driven target lesion revascularization, major adverse limb events, and death did not differ significantly between groups. In weighted multivariable models, drug-coated device use remained associated with wound healing (HR, 1.86; 95% CI, 1.14?3.02), but not with mortality or major limb events. Exploratory drug-specific analyses suggested the highest wound-healing rates among patients treated with sirolimus-coated devices, while mortality was comparable between paclitaxel-coated and uncoated devices. Conclusion: In this real-world cohort of patients with chronic limb-threatening ischemia undergoing infrainguinal endovascular therapy, drug-coated device use was not associated with increased adjusted 1-year mortality and was associated with improved wound healing. Exploratory analyses suggested favourable wound-healing outcomes with sirolimus-coated balloons, with a lower observed mortality signal that warrants confirmation in larger comparative studies.

Minimally invasive endovascular procedures offer reduced surgical trauma, shorter recovery times, and improved outcomes, but rely on 2D fluoroscopic X-ray imaging, which provides limited depth perception and exposes patients and clinicians to ionizing radiation. Here we present an augmented reality (AR) system that fuses intravascular ultrasound (IVUS) and electromagnetic (EM) position tracking with preoperative computed tomography (CT) to produce an anatomically accurate, deformation-corrected navigational reference. A robotic device performs ECG-gated pullback of the IVUS probe, capturing 4D aortic motion across the cardiac cycle. We introduce a deep learning architecture for extracting vascular lumen boundaries and side-branch orifices from artifact-prone IVUS streams, and a semantically driven non-rigid CT-IVUS fusion pipeline robust to false positive landmarks. We evaluate the platform with trained surgeons in benchtop phantom studies and in-vivo ovine models, and demonstrate its application to fenestrated endovascular aneurysm repair (FEVAR). Compared to fluoroscopy alone, AR guidance significantly reduces cannulation time, radiation exposure, and cognitive workload, while improving procedural efficiency and safety. Our IVUS-EM and CT aortic datasets are released open source.

The aim of this work is to validate patient-specific EEG baseline establishment using the e-norms method as a screening and retrospective-review tool for seizure detection in pediatric epilepsy. The method was applied to 247 seizure-free EEG recordings (263.92 hours) from 10 patients in the CHB-MIT Scalp EEG Database (ages 3-18). A composite stability metric combining first-derivative dynamics, spectral entropy, variance, and line length was computed per 2-second epoch across 23 channels. Patient-specific detection thresholds were derived from each patient's seizure-free baseline using a weighted statistical procedure. Performance was validated against 72 expert-annotated seizures (2,705 epochs) across 62 seizure files, with durations spanning 6 to 264 seconds (44-fold range). The results show that detection achieved 94.4% event-level sensitivity (68 of 72 seizures; 95% CI 86.6-97.8%) and 81.5% epoch-level sensitivity (2,204 of 2,705 epochs; 95% CI 80.0-82.9%). Eight of ten patients achieved 100% event-level sensitivity with epoch-level sensitivity ranging from 58.7% to 100.0%. Two patients showed partial event-level failures (CHB-15: 17 of 20; CHB-18: 5 of 6), with the four missed events attributable to two characterizable failure modes. Patient-specific thresholds ranged from 4.06 to 4.81 (mean 4.51 +/- 0.25); threshold variation did not correlate reliably with age or sex, confirming that no universal threshold could achieve comparable performance. Detection margins ranged from 0.88 to 1.24 times. Patient-specific e-norms achieves 94.4% event-level sensitivity for pediatric EEG seizure detection without requiring labeled seizure training data, exceeding published human expert inter-rater agreement (50-76%) and recent automated approaches in adult cohorts using behind-the-ear EEG and wearable ECG. Two characterizable failure modes account for the four missed events and inform appropriate clinical use. As a high-sensitivity screening tool complementary to real-time alarm systems, the method is ready for adult validation, prospective deployment, and head-to-head benchmarking.

Background: Bicuspid aortic valve anatomy increases procedural complexity during transcatheter aortic valve implantation, yet outcome-oriented anatomic risk stratification for intraprocedural events remains limited. Aims: We aimed to develop and externally validate an anatomy-driven score to predict a composite intraprocedural endpoint, assessed at exit from the procedure room, in bicuspid transcatheter aortic valve implantation. Methods: Consecutive patients with bicuspid aortic valve undergoing transcatheter aortic valve implantation were analysed in a development cohort (N=793) and a multicentre external validation cohort (N=134). Candidate preprocedural computed tomography and echocardiographic variables were prespecified by expert consensus and refined using penalized regression with bootstrap stability selection within a domain-constrained framework. A five-indicator score (0 to 10 points) was derived from routine imaging metrics spanning the ascending aorta, aortic root, valve complex, annulus-outflow tract unit, and left ventricle, and tested using multivariable logistic regression. Results: The composite intraprocedural endpoint occurred in 101/793 (12.7%) patients in the development cohort, with stepwise increases across risk strata (7.2%, 13.3%, 30.6%; p<0.001). Each 1-point increase was independently associated with higher risk (odds ratio 1.32; 95% confidence interval 1.18-1.47). A similar gradient was observed in external validation (3.1%, 10.8%, 50.0%; p=0.012; odds ratio 1.55 per point), with a C-statistic of 0.725. Higher risk categories were associated with lower early safety and higher 30-day and 1-year mortality. Conclusions: An anatomy-driven score derived from routine preprocedural imaging demonstrates graded discrimination of intraprocedural risk and may inform procedural planning in bicuspid transcatheter aortic valve implantation.

Objective: Photobiomodulation therapy has emerged as a promising modality to facilitate scar healing and pain management in dermatology and plastic surgery. However, its role in postoperative care following spine surgeries remains understudied. This double-blinded, placebo-controlled study aimed to investigate the effects of photobiomodulation in patients with chronic lower back pain undergoing lumbar decompression, with postoperative wound healing as the primary outcome and pain reduction and functional recovery as secondary outcomes. Methods: Patients were randomized to receive either active photobiomodulation braces (N=13) or placebo braces (N=12). Follow-up assessments were performed at 2, 4, 6, 8, and 12 weeks postoperatively. Outcomes included wound healing (Stony Brook Scar Evaluation Scale), back and leg pain (Visual Analog Scale), quality of life (EuroQol 5D), and functional status (Oswestry Disability Index). Results: Compared to the placebo group, the photobiomodulation treatment group had a 4.12-fold cumulative improvement in final scar scores, with significant between-group differences at postoperative weeks 6, 8, and 12 (p = 0.0062, 0.010, 0.042). Among patients with severe preoperative disability, treatment resulted in a 1.89-fold faster improvement in back pain (p=0.025) and a 1.80-fold faster improvement in ODI scores (p=0.025); and superior treatment effect on wound healing were again observed at weeks 6, 8, and 12. Among patients with poor initial scars, treatment led to a significantly better scar outcome than placebo at week 6 and a 1.94-fold faster EQ5D improvement (p=0.052), with significant gains observed as early as two weeks after surgery. There were no adverse events associated with photobiomodulation treatment. Conclusions: Photobiomodulation significantly promoted postoperative wound healing following lumbar decompression surgery, with therapeutic benefits preserved even in patients with poor baseline scar scores and functional impairment. This indicates that the efficacy of photobiomodulation is not limited by the initial scar condition or disability, supporting its broad clinical applicability. Additionally, patients with severe preoperative disability experienced greater benefits from photobiomodulation than placebo, including faster reduction in back pain and more rapid improvement in functional capacity, highlighting its role in postoperative pain management and rehabilitation. These therapeutic effects are likely mediated by photobiomodulation-induced reduction of inflammation and enhancement of tissue repair. Together, this study suggests that photobiomodulation can be a promising adjunct therapy to facilitate postoperative recovery in patients undergoing spine surgery.

Introduction Hospitalised community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) is heterogeneous in aetiology, severity, and outcome. Phenotyping and endotyping approaches offer potential to stratify patients biologically and guide targeted therapy, but require well-characterised cohorts with linked biosamples. We describe the PARIS (Pneumonia: Acute Respiratory Infection +/- Sepsis) study: a prospective observational cohort of hospitalised patients with pneumonia, designed to characterise functional outcomes and to provide a biobank for translational immunological research. Methods Adults admitted with CAP to a single NHS district general hospital were enrolled within 24 hours of admission between December 2020 and March 2022. Clinical, functional, and physiological data were collected at enrolment, hospital discharge, and 6-8 week follow-up. Serial blood samples were collected for flow cytometry, transcriptomics, pathogen DNA detection, and plasma biobanking. Results Forty-seven patients were enrolled (15 without and 32 with sepsis [SOFA >=2] at enrolment); 87% met sepsis criteria by 24 hours post enrolment. Most patients (30/47, 64%) were managed as COVID-19, microbiologically confirmed in 27. Mean age was 57 years (SD 16), 70% were male, and baseline comorbidity burden was low. Severity was moderate (median NEWS2 4 at enrolment, rising to 6 by 24 hours post enrolment; p<0.001). Mortality was 4/47 (8.5%), with 44/47 (94%) alive at hospital discharge. Median length of stay was 8 days (IQR 5.5-11). Translational samples were collected from the majority: fresh flow cytometry (44/47, 94%), transcriptomics from the sepsis subgroup (31/32, 97%), pathogen DNA sampling (35 samples received across study timepoints; see Table 5), and stored plasma (29/47, 62%). The primary outcome of functional decline (Barthel score decrease >=1.85) occurred in only 1/29 patients with paired assessments (3.4%). Persistent CRP elevation (>3 mg/L) at 6-8 week follow-up was present in 16/31 (52%) survivors with available data. Conclusions The PARIS cohort provides a well-characterised clinical platform and linked biobank to support translational studies of pneumonia and sepsis. The low rate of functional decline reflects the younger, lower-comorbidity, COVID-predominant population recruited. Primary protocol endpoints were not achieved owing to pandemic-related disruption. Data and samples underpin a programme of linked translational studies.

Background: Cerebral vasospasm is a frequent complication after aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH) and is associated with delayed cerebral ischemia (DCI) and unfavorable outcome. While CTA-based vasospasm grading is frequently used, its relationship with actual cerebral perfusion remains incompletely understood. This study investigates the association between vasospasm severity and distribution and territorial perfusion deficits. Methods: In this retrospective single-center study, 513 CT examinations (CTA and CT perfusion) from 194 patients with aSAH were analyzed. Vasospasm was graded per vessel segment using the CTA Vasospasm Score, and perfusion deficits were assigned to corresponding vascular territories (left/right anterior circulation, posterior circulation). Vasospasm distribution was further classified by severity and multifocality. Associations between vasospasm score and perfusion deficits were assessed using a generalized linear mixed model with binomial distribution, adjusting for Hunt & Hess grade, modified Fisher score, and days since hemorrhage. Results: Vasospasm was detected in 79.3% of examinations, and a perfusion deficit in at least one territory was present in 62.6%. The proportion of perfusion deficits increased progressively with both vasospasm severity and multifocality, ranging from 21.7-25.0% in the absence of vasospasm to 81.2-82.2% in severe multifocal vasospasm. The CTA Vasospasm Score was significantly associated with perfusion deficits in all territories (OR 1.36-1.50), with stronger associations in the anterior than posterior circulation. Conclusion: Vasospasm severity and distribution are strongly associated with perfusion deficits, supporting a continuum model of ischemic risk. However, the substantial proportion of perfusion deficits occurring independent of vasospasm suggests additional microcirculatory mechanisms not captured by CTA. CT perfusion should be considered complementary to CTA, particularly in clinically deteriorating or non-assessable patients.

Background: Mechanical thrombectomy (MT) is a time-sensitive reperfusion treatment for acute ischemic stroke caused by large-vessel occlusion. Workflow time metrics for MT remain poorly characterized in Indonesia, where stroke burden is substantial. This study describes pre-hospital and in-hospital time-interval metrics for MT across two major tertiary hospitals in Jakarta and evaluates institutional trends over a nine-year period. Methods: We conducted a retrospective descriptive study of consecutive patients undergoing MT at dr. Cipto Mangunkusumo National General Hospital (RSCM) and Prof. Dr. dr. Mahar Mardjono National Brain Center Hospital (RSPON) from 2017 to 2025. Pre-hospital and in-hospital time-interval metrics were reported as median (interquartile range [IQR]) and stratified by institution. Results: Among 330 registered patients, 71 were excluded due to incomplete data, leaving 259 in the final cohort (RSCM n=38; RSPON n=221). The pooled cohort had a mean age of 58.12 {+/-} 11.09 years; 63.71% were male. Hypertension was the most prevalent vascular risk factor (53.67%). Median door-to-CT time was 9 minutes (IQR 18), door-to-decision 101 minutes (IQR 100), and door-to-groin puncture 272 minutes (IQR 152). Total ischemic time (onset-to-groin puncture) was 468 minutes (IQR 294). MT volume increased substantially over the study period, particularly after 2022 at RSPON, which also demonstrated progressive improvement in in-hospital workflow times. RSCM showed increasing delays in later years, consistent with institutional congestion at a general multispecialty center. Conclusions: Early brain imaging was achievable at both centers; however, post-imaging delays particularly in CT-to-groin intervals, represent the dominant in-hospital bottleneck. Future quality-improvement efforts should prioritize decision-making, team mobilization, and pre-hospital coordination to reduce total ischemic time and improve access to reperfusion therapy.

Background and Aims The optimal treatment for first episodes and first recurrences of Clostridioides difficile infections (CDI) is unknown and there is emerging evidence for pulse and taper (P-T) regimens. Therefore, we sought to estimate the relative efficacy of treatment options. Methods MEDLINE and CENTRAL were searched from database inception to May 21, 2025 and unpublished conference abstracts were searched from recent infectious disease conferences. RCTs on the treatment of first episodes or first recurrences of CDI comparing fixed-dose or P-T regimens of fidaxomicin or vancomycin were included. The primary and secondary outcomes were 40- and 56-day CDI recurrence, respectively. A random-effects network meta-analysis on the risk ratio (RR) scale was conducted using a standard regimen (10-14 days) of vancomycin as the comparator. Treatments were ranked using the surface under the cumulative ranking curve (SUCRA). Results 8 RCTs were included comprising a total of 2181 patients. For 40-day recurrence, fidaxomicin P-T had the highest probability of ranking best (RR=0.10, 95%Confidence Interval [95%CI]=0.10-0.49, SUCRA=1.00), followed by vancomycin P-T (RR=0.49, 95%CI=0.32-0.76, SUCRA=0.61), fixed-dose fidaxomicin (RR=0.61, 95%CI=0.49-0.76, SUCRA=0.39), and, finally, fixed-dose of vancomycin (SUCRA=0.00). The treatments ranked in the same order for 56-day recurrence, though only 3 RCTs reported on this timepoint. Conclusion Vancomycin P-T, fidaxomicin P-T, and fixed-dose fidaxomicin were all superior to a fixed-dose vancomycin. Head-to-head comparative effectiveness RCTs are needed to quantify their relative effect sizes of and impact on long-term prevention of recurrent CDI.

Background The 2022-2023 global mpox outbreak highlighted the critical need for robust genomic surveillance capabilities to track mpox virus (MPXV) evolution and transmission dynamics. Methods Building upon our established SARS-CoV-2 sequencing infrastructure, we implemented a Molecular Loop probe-based long-read sequencing approach using Pacific Biosciences Sequel II technology for comprehensive MPXV genomic surveillance across the United States (US). From August 2024 to June 2025, we generated 326 high-quality whole genome sequences from residual mpox-positive clinical specimens collected by Labcorp across all 10 US Department of Health and Human Services regions. Results Our analysis identified two samples containing clade Ib MPXV in January and June 2025 and captured shifting trends in clade IIb diversity, with 13 distinct lineages observed. We also identified multiple instances of large (~1.6-17.6kb) deletions proximal to the inverted terminal repeats in clade IIb genomes. APOBEC3 mutation analysis indicated substantial evidence of human-to-human transmission among both clades. Further, we observed significantly higher APOBEC3-associated SNPs per kilobase (P<0.001) in clade IIb genomic variable regions relative to their central conserved region. Our assay exhibited strong reproducibility across biological replicates from individual patients and accuracy was confirmed via parallel sequencing of select specimens by US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) using metagenomic sequencing. We also demonstrated via custom simulation that our assay discriminates all known MPXV clades and lineages, including those we have not observed in the US. Conclusions Our integrated nationwide surveillance system facilitates real-time genomic tracking of outbreak evolution, with demonstrated capacity across SARS-CoV-2 and MPXV, positioning this platform for rapid deployment during future pathogen emergence.

Background: Monoclonal antibodies have emerged as a prophylactic strategy to prevent symptomatic SARS-CoV-2 infection in immunocompromised individuals. However, the evolutionary and clinical implications of breakthrough infections under this regime remain unclear. Methods: A male in their 80s with a haematological/oncological diagnosis received a 2000 mg intravenous infusion of sotrovimab in March 2023 and was diagnosed with COVID-19 by RT-qPCR from a nasopharyngeal swab in August 2023. Weekly samples (n=24) were collected through February 2024 (171 days). All samples underwent whole-genome sequencing, with select mutations subjected to functional assessment. Findings: Sequencing identified the GE.1 lineage at all timepoints. An intra-host recombination event in ORF1ab (positions 8942-12458) was detected prior to 23 weeks post-detection, followed by a 14-fold increase in viral load (7.42e+06 to 1.00e+08 RNA copies/mL) and a marked shift in the viral population. E340D, a sotrovimab resistance mutation, was detected at low abundance (46%) within the first week post-infection, fluctuated over time, and was nearly fixed by week 15 (107 days) post-detection. We assessed five spike mutations - V36M, S98F, and V213G in the N-terminal domain, Y505P in the receptor-binding domain, and P681Q near the S1/S2 cleavage site - and additionally evaluated the impact of E340D. V36M conferred the highest infectivity across all cell lines, with the most significant effect in low-TMPRSS2 cells. While all mutations showed enhanced infectivity with the addition of E340D, the effect was most pronounced in mutations with lower baseline infectivity. The addition of E340D significantly decreased relative neutralizing titres for V36M, S98F, and V213G, enabling escape from neutralizing antibodies in XBB-responsive individuals, illustrating an enhanced phenotypic advantage. Patient neutralizing activity was absent pre-sotrovimab, and sotrovimab-induced neutralization was further compromised by selection of E340D. Interpretation: Sotrovimab pre-exposure prophylaxis in an immunocompromised patient did not prevent SARS-CoV-2 infection, and selected for resistant mutation E340D, with unexpected fitness consequences across non-receptor binding domain spike regions.

Background: Opioid use disorder (OUD) is heritable, yet most genome-wide association studies (GWAS) have focused on European populations, leaving the genetic architecture of OUD in non-European populations underexplored. Methods: We conducted GWAS of OUD across three ancestries using electronic health records and genomic data from 52,357 All of Us Research Program participants (8,912 cases; 43,445 matched opioid-exposed controls; 48.5% female). Participants were stratified into European (EUR), African (AFR), and Admixed American (AMR) ancestry groups for logistic regression GWAS, with independent replication in the Million Veteran Program. We then applied the deep-learning model AlphaGenome to predict the tissue-specific transcriptomic and splicing consequences of top risk variants across 13 reward-pathway brain regions. Results: We identified and replicated a novel DDX6 risk locus, alongside established OPRM1 and FURIN signals. AlphaGenome predicted the DDX6 regulatory allele downregulates the stress-resistance gene FOXR1 in the nucleus accumbens, while the protective OPRM1 variant (rs1799971) upregulates OPRM1 expression across reward networks. Other signals of interest included IL6R and SHISA9 (EUR); GHR (AFR); and ASTN2 (AMR). Conclusions: This study identifies DDX6 as a novel OUD risk locus, replicates associations with OPRM1 and FURIN, and highlights biologically plausible ancestry-specific signals in AFR and AMR populations. We also replicated top variants in an independent population. Finally, integrating GWAS with deep-learning annotations provides specific, localized biological hypotheses to guide future experimental validation and targeted therapeutics.

The World Health Organization (WHO) validated Sri Lanka had eliminated lymphatic filariasis as a public health problem in 2016, the second country in Southeast Asia to attain this status. However, post-validation surveillance has identified sporadic cases of brugian filariasis. The reemergence of Brugia malayi infections in Sri Lanka warrants urgent investigations. Recent studies have shown that the parasite responsible for the reemergence is a novel zoonotic Brugia sp. maintained among dogs that is closely related but distinct to the human-infecting B. malayi species. The current study employed morphological and morphometric assessments, revealing that this novel zoonotic Brugia sp. is within the B. malayi morphological range. Molecular characterization of three genomic regions, the nuclear genomic region SLXI, the non-coding region HhaI, and the mitochondrial genomic region COXI confirmed it as a genetic variant more closely related to B. malayi than to B. pahangi. Phylogenetic analysis further indicated it as a distinct genomic variant, closely related to a B. malayi-like parasite reported from India. Notably, that same parasite was identified in infected humans, animals, and potential vector mosquitoes. This, together with the detection of both human and animal blood within the same brugian infective mosquitoes, and delineating the canine origin of the parasites in human infections, provides compelling evidence supporting zoonotic transmission of this parasite. To our knowledge, this is the first report demonstrating the presence of the same brugian parasite in humans, domestic animals, and potentially infective mosquitoes in Sri Lanka, supported by multi-genomic evidence. The recent identification of multiple potential mosquito vector species suggests that this parasite may have undergone adaptive changes, facilitating its ability to overcome the species barrier. These findings substantiate the long-held hypothesis of zoonotic transmission of the reemerged brugian parasite, highlighting significant implications for ongoing surveillance and control strategies.

Stochastic epidemic models are a cornerstone of infectious disease epidemiology and are often used to study intervention scenarios. However, large run-to-run variability can make intervention effects difficult to estimate precisely. We revisit the epidemic Sellke construction, which assigns each individual an infection threshold for the cumulative infection hazard such that, conditional on the thresholds, the epidemic trajectory becomes deterministic. This enables coupling of simulations with and without an intervention, yielding low-variance effect estimates even when outcomes such as final size or peak incidence vary widely between runs. We develop an exact, event-driven implementation that maintains infection and recovery events in priority queues. Cumulative infection-hazard updates require O(log N) time per event, yielding overall complexity O(Elog N) for E events in a population of size N. The implementation achieves computational performance comparable to the classical Gillespie algorithm while naturally accommodating non-Markovian infectious periods and complex infectiousness profiles. We illustrate the approach using distance-dependent spread of avian influenza between poultry farms in the Netherlands and a multilayer population with households, schools, and workplaces. In both examples, coupling enables efficient within-run comparisons of intervention scenarios across stochastic realisations.

Estimating dengue force of infection (FOI) is essential for understanding transmission dynamics and targeting intervention programmes, yet surveillance data in endemic settings required for estimations are often incomplete, with varying formats. We developed a Bayesian hierarchical catalytic model that jointly fits age-stratified case data, aggregate case data, and seroprevalence surveys within a single framework, incorporating external covariates to improve parameter identifiability. Synthetic validation showed that covariates alone recovered accurate FOI point estimates even when most districts contributed only aggregate data, but did so with poorly calibrated uncertainty; anchoring the model with a single seroprevalence survey was necessary to bring credible interval coverage close to nominal. Applied to 128 districts across Java and Bali, Indonesia (2016-2024), the model revealed substantial spatial heterogeneity in FOI and reporting rates. Many districts in Java exceeded the WHO-suggested seroprevalence threshold for vaccine introduction, yet were classified as low-priority when using reported incidence as prioritisation criterion, particularly in areas with weak surveillance. Model-based seroprevalence estimation, integrating multiple data sources, offers a more consistent basis for identifying high-priority districts for vaccine introduction, and is less susceptible to surveillance bias than reported incidence.

Controlled human infection models (CHIMs) are increasingly used in infectious disease research to study pathogen dynamics and evaluate interventions under controlled conditions. However, these studies are resource-intensive and involve ethical and safety constraints, making efficient study design critical. Dose-finding is a key early component in CHIMs, where the aim is to identify a challenge dose that achieves a target infection probability. Traditional rule-based designs are commonly used but can be inefficient, motivating the use of model-based adaptive approaches such as the Bayesian Continual Reassessment Method (CRM). Although CRM has been extensively studied and widely adopted in Phase I oncology trials for identifying the maximum tolerated dose of therapeutics, its application in CHIM settings remains limited, particularly when the endpoint of interest is infection. This tutorial provides step-by-step guidance for implementing a Bayesian CRM in dose-finding CHIMs, using an oropharyngeal Neisseria gonorrhoeae challenge as a motivating case study. The framework outlines key design components, including dose-grid specification, dose-response model, prior elicitation, Bayesian updating, decision rules, and stopping criteria, with particular emphasis on a clinically interpretable parameterisation. Trial operating characteristics are evaluated through simulation studies under multiple dose-response scenarios and prior-predictive analyses, and compared with a commonly used '3+3' type rule-based design. This work highlights the advantages of Bayesian model-based designs for dose-finding in CHIMs over classic rule-based designs and provides a structured, reproducible framework for implementing CRM, supporting their application in future CHIM studies.

Background Post-infection conditions (PICs), such as Long Covid, are associated with heterogeneous, fluctuating symptoms that profoundly affect daily functioning. Despite moderate-certainty evidence from the NIHR-funded LISTEN trial (COV-LT2-0009) that personalised self management support improves outcomes and may reduce societal and economic impacts of Long Covid, many people living with PICs still receive condition-specific services, generic advice, or stand-alone digital tools that do not address their complex needs. Aim To map care approaches in general practice and synthesise UK evidence for PIC management. Design and setting Scoping review and online survey. Method A two-phase study was conducted: (1) a scoping review of UK evidence on PIC management in general practice; and (2) a supplementary online survey of practitioners working in UK general practice to provide contextual insights. Results The scoping review identified 32 studies focused on Long Covid. One study included a comparator group (ME/CFS). Study populations were predominantly white ethnicity and female. Evidence for non-Covid PICs in UK general practice was largely absent. The supplementary survey (n=46) provided preliminary practice-level insights. Healthcare practitioners reported varied PIC presentations, diagnostic uncertainty, limited referral pathways, inequitable access, and low confidence in managing PICs. Conclusion Evidence informing PIC management in UK general practice remains predominantly Long Covid-focused and may not reflect the range of PICs encountered in practice. While survey findings are preliminary and require confirmation in larger samples, they highlight uncertainty around PIC management. Further research is needed to evaluate whether existing Long Covid pathways should be expanded or complemented by broader PIC models. Keywords general practice; Long Covid; self-management; post-viral syndromes

Objective: There is a bidirectional relationship between emotional distress and pain. However, this relationship is understudied in people with HIV in low-resource settings. This study sought to describe the temporal relationship between emotional distress and pain in people with HIV. Design: Longitudinal observational study. Methods: Participants with virally suppressed HIV, reporting either no pain or persistent pain at baseline, provided weekly remote ratings of distress, worst pain, and average pain using 0-10 visual analogue scales. Within-individual fluctuations in distress and pain were visualised over time. Group-level correlations were determined using Spearman's correlation tests. Cumulative link mixed models assessed whether distress and pain each predicted the other in the following week. Results: 72 participants provided responses over 49 weeks. The participants had a median (IQR) age of 43 (37-51) years, 63% (n=45) were unemployed and most were females (n=51;71%). Distress and pain fluctuated concurrently within individuals: distress was positively correlated with worst pain ({rho}=0.66, 95% CI= 0.60-0.72, p<0.001) and average pain ({rho}=0.70, 95% CI=0.64-0.75, p<0.001) intensity within the same week. Worst pain (OR=1.42, 95% CI=1.17-1.71, p<0.001) and average pain (OR=1.43, 95% CI=1.20-1.71, p<0.001) intensity both predicted distress in the next week. Distress predicted worst pain intensity (OR=1.25, 95% CI=1.07-1.46, p=0.023) but not average pain intensity (OR=1.19, 95% CI=1.01-1.40, p=0.152) in the next week. Conclusions: The temporal relationship between distress and worst pain intensity was bidirectional, whereas distress did not temporally predict average pain intensity. Both pain and emotional distress should receive attention from HIV research and clinical care in low-resource settings.

Lithium has been the gold standard for the treatment and prevention of relapse in bipolar disorder for over 60 years. Guidance from the National Institute for Health and Clinical Excellence states explicitly to 'offer lithium as a first-line, long-term pharmacological treatment for bipolar disorder'. Yet, in the last two decades its use has been in decline with clinicians favouring anticonvulsants or antipsychotics when treating this condition. In this study, we have used three openly available datasets containing prescribing data from primary and secondary care to explore trends in the use of lithium in England, showing both regional and temporal variance between 2015-2024. We have shown that lithium use declined in primary care by 20.9% in the last ten years (2015-2024) and 10.9% overall in the last five years (2019 to 2025). We have also shown how there is some regional variation in the source of lithium for patients, although the vast majority is prescribed in primary care. Further research into clinical behaviour is needed to understand what is driving the decrease in lithium usage, and what barriers and enablers may influence its use across the country.